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The Truth About the Affordability Crisis in Canada’s Housing Market

May 21, 2025
For generations, owning a home has been a cornerstone of the Canadian dream—something to work toward, save for, and one day proudly call your own. But today, that dream is drifting out of reach for many, especially in markets like British Columbia and Alberta, where the ground beneath the housing market feels anything but steady.

Rising home prices. Ballooning living costs. Stricter mortgage tests. The goal hasn’t changed, but the journey there is steeper, narrower, and full of detours. First-time buyers are feeling the pinch hardest, while current homeowners wrestle with refinancing in a high-debt, high-rate environment.

In this blog, we’ll unpack the key factors driving Canada’s housing affordability crisis—rising home prices, climbing living costs, growing household debt, and the shift to 30-year amortizations. We’ll look at how these forces are affecting both first-time buyers and current homeowners, with a special focus on the realities in British Columbia and Alberta. So, whether you’re navigating your first purchase or facing a tough renewal, Brightcap Financial is here to help you make informed, strategic mortgage decisions in an increasingly challenging market.

1. The Rising Cost of “Home” in Canada

A generation ago, a family home was a reachable goal. Today, it feels more like a moving target—especially in British Columbia and Alberta, where housing markets have taken on lives of their own.

In BC, prices remain among the highest in the country, with limited supply, strong demand, and investor activity continuing to squeeze the market. As the BC Real Estate Association reports, “The average [home] price in BC is projected to rise by 4.5 per cent in 2025, driven by a strong recovery in overall housing demand.” That growth doesn’t just reflect market momentum—it reflects a deep imbalance between the number of homes available and the number of people trying to buy them.

Alberta tells a slightly different story. While it’s often considered more affordable than its western neighbor, prices are steadily climbing. In-migration from more expensive provinces and renewed economic optimism have pushed demand higher, especially in urban centers like Calgary and Edmonton. This has tightened supply and slowly closed the affordability gap that once gave Alberta a distinct edge.

Across both provinces, inflation and elevated construction costs have only added fuel to the fire. And incomes? They simply haven’t kept up. As wages lag behind price growth, the dream of homeownership drifts further from reach for first-time buyers.

That’s why Brightcap Financial is ready to help you cut through the noise. We bring clarity to complex markets, helping clients in BC and Alberta find mortgage solutions that lead to the home of their dreams.

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2. Cost of Living and Mortgage Stress: A Double Bind

It’s not just the cost of a home that’s going up—it’s the cost of everything. Groceries, gas, insurance, utilities—living has become more expensive, and that rising tide is pulling borrowing power underwater.

When you apply for a mortgage, lenders aren’t just looking at your income and the price of the home. They’re calculating whether you could still afford your payments if interest rates climb. That’s the mortgage stress test—a safeguard designed to prevent over-leveraging. But in today’s financial environment, it’s also locking people out. The more you spend just to live, the less financial room you have to pass that test.

For first-time buyers, this double bind hits hardest. They’re juggling student debt, rent hikes, and now everyday expenses that devour disposable income. Even with steady jobs, many are finding that qualifying for a mortgage feels like trying to run uphill on a treadmill... never-ending.

In British Columbia, where property prices are sky-high and urban living costs are relentless, the stress is amplified. It’s not uncommon for households to spend more than half their income on housing and core necessities. In Alberta, housing is more accessible, but rising costs in fuel and utilities—especially in colder months—chip away at the advantage.

So, what does it all mean? It means the affordability conversation isn’t just about what homes cost—it’s about what life costs. And for many Canadians, life is getting more expensive faster than their paychecks can keep up.

As the gap between income and everyday expenses widens, the dream of homeownership becomes harder to reach—not because people are financially reckless, but because the system hasn’t kept pace with reality. That gap leaves many feeling like they’re falling behind, even while doing everything right.

But understanding these pressures is the first step toward managing them. With a clearer view of the road ahead and the right plan in place, moving forward is still possible—even in a market where every dollar counts.

3. The 30-Year Amortization Move: Relief or Risk?

When affordability is stretched thin, even small adjustments can feel like lifelines. That’s exactly what the federal government hoped to offer with its recent policy shift: extending amortization periods on insured mortgages from 25 to 30 years—for first-time buyers purchasing new builds.

At first glance, it’s a welcome relief. Longer amortizations mean lower monthly payments, which in turn can help more buyers qualify for a mortgage in the first place. As the Government of Canada stated in 2024, “Extending amortizations by up to five years will allow for lower monthly payments—helping more young Canadians unlock the door to their first home.” That message resonates, especially in markets like Vancouver and Calgary, where high prices can outpace even solid incomes.

But with that relief comes risk. Lower monthly payments don’t mean a cheaper mortgage. In fact, stretching payments over a longer term results in significantly more interest paid over time—and a slower path to building equity. It’s the difference between surviving the present and thriving in the long run.

For some, the 30-year option may be a strategic entry point into the market. For others, it might create the illusion of affordability while locking them into long-term financial weight. That’s where guidance becomes essential.

At Brightcap Financial, we help clients weigh both the immediate benefits and the hidden costs. We ask the bigger questions: Does this path support your long-term goals? Is this home truly within reach—or just within monthly limits? With the right plan, a 30-year amortization can be a tool. Without one, it can become a trap.

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4. The Refinancing Dilemma: Debt, Equity, and the Next Move

For many Canadian homeowners, the biggest financial decision of the next two years won’t be buying a new home—it’ll be renewing the one they already have.

During the era of ultra-low interest rates, refinancing was a tool of opportunity: a way to lower payments, free up cash, or consolidate debt. But now, it’s a line in the sand. Rates have climbed. Monthly costs are surging. And for those carrying high debt loads, the math has become a source of real stress.

The Bank of Canada warned that “About 60% of outstanding mortgages will renew before the end of 2026. As well, about 40% of outstanding mortgages could be subject to a higher interest rate at renewal over the same period.” That’s not just a forecast—it’s a wave of financial pressure building on the horizon. For many homeowners, this means facing renewal at rates dramatically higher than what they originally signed up for. The result? Payment shock, tighter household budgets, and hard choices about refinancing, downsizing, or stretching amortization even further. In an environment characterized by high debt and escalating costs, this statistic underscores the critical need for proactive financial planning—before renewal becomes a crisis.

How this plays out varies by region. In British Columbia, many homeowners are equity-rich thanks to soaring property values—but equity isn’t cash. Renewing at higher rates could mean liquidating investments, renting out space, or reassessing goals. In Alberta, where home values are lower and incomes more stretched, the affordability window is tighter. The risk isn’t just about higher payments—it’s about whether families can stay in the homes they worked hard to own.

So when does refinancing make sense? When it’s strategic. When it aligns with a plan—not just pressure. It’s about weighing interest costs, lifestyle changes, and long-term goals—not just chasing lower numbers.

At Brightcap Financial, we help clients face these decisions with clarity. Whether you’re navigating rate shock, eyeing equity use, or simply wondering what your next move should be—we’re here to make sure that move is the right one.

In Conclusion

Canada’s housing affordability crisis isn’t the result of a single issue—it’s a perfect storm. Soaring home prices. A rising cost of living. Debt climbing faster than income. And now, a 30-year amortization option that can either be a bridge or a burden. These forces don’t act alone—they compound, overlap, and test the resilience of buyers and homeowners across BC, Alberta, and other provinces.

But here’s the truth: chaos doesn’t mean you’re powerless. With the right strategy, clarity cuts through noise—and smart decisions become possible.

At Brightcap Financial, we specialize in just that. We don’t offer cookie-cutter solutions. We listen. We analyze. We plan around your goals, your region, and your reality. Whether you're navigating a first-time purchase, refinancing under pressure, or weighing your options with extended amortization—we help you move forward with confidence, not guesswork.

You can start now by understanding where you stand. Use our Mortgage Calculator to explore what’s possible, then let’s talk. Because no matter how complex the market gets, your mortgage strategy should always have one simple goal: to support your path to homeownership.

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